Kames CapitalJun 2 2017

Green sector upbeat despite Trump's Paris decision

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Green sector upbeat despite Trump's Paris decision

US President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement will only have a marginal effect on green energy investment, according to financial experts.

President Trump ignored the appeals of foreign leaders, the CEO's of Exxon, Apple, Alphabet and Tesla, and even his own children.

America is the second largest emitter of CO2 globally and there have been fears that should the US withdraw, other countries would follow.

Commenting on the investment implications, Georgina Laird, sustainable investment analyst at Kames Capital, said: “President Trump may claim to be focused on saving coal miners, but the fact remains that withdrawal from the Paris Accord cannot interrupt the falling solar, wind and lithium-ion cost curves.

"In the US this week, action on climate change has continued at both the State level and by shareholders.

"California, along with New York and Washington, have united to continue to back the Accord. Exxon shareholders voted 62 per cent in favour of more open and detailed analyses of the business risks posed by climate change, a monumental shift from 38 per cent support last year."

She added that aside from the altruistic ‘save the world’ scenario the mounting economic benefits will continue to drive progress.

"Economics push harder than government regulations. Countries, companies and investors will continue to move global efforts on climate change forward. Trump may be putting “Pittsburgh over Paris” - a statement the Mayor of Pittsburgh has rejected, also repeating their commitment to the Paris Accord - but all that has been achieved is the delivery of a campaign pledge and the door left open for China to take centre stage in the climate leadership role."

In terms of the investment implications, Ms Laird argued there would be no slow down in the adoption of environmentally-friendly technologies.

"From solar power, to wind power to electric vehicles, momentum has been building for some time.  Barriers to adoption have been falling and returns on investment improving to the point where subsidies are largely no longer necessary. The bottom line is that  the impact on companies and sectors that operate in these sectors will be extremely marginal and we do not expect any negative repercussions for any of our underlying investments as a result of this US policy change.”

IFA Sebastian van Mook of Abacus Associates echoed the point: “The green energy development process is in full flow and President Trump’s decision is unlikely to slow this down.”