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Banking On Banksy: Can Contemporary Art Really Offer Capital Protection?

Banking On Banksy: Can Contemporary Art Really Offer Capital Protection?

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After “Great British Spraycation” put Banksy back in the spotlight over the summer, demand for the iconic street artist’s work shows no signs of abating. During H1 2021 a total of 27 Banksy originals sold at auction for more than US$80 million worth according to the website “Banksy Explained”. That’s the highest total ever achieved by Banksy to date, with the top performer being “Game Changer” which sold at Christie's London in March 2021 for £16,758,000.

These big sums might sound impressive, but does this mean that investors and FAs should seriously consider including contemporary art in their portfolios? Let’s consider the main pros and cons of art investment from the perspective of the retail investor.

Impact Of COVID-19

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, Deloitte’s 2019 Art & Finance Report estimated the total value of the art and collectibles market at US$1.7 trillion, with projections to reach US$2.1 trillion by 2023. While there’s no question the pandemic has impacted auction and gallery sales, the market is expected to recover promptly according to the latest Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report:

“Global sales of art and antiques fell from $62 billion in 2008 to $39.5 billion in 2009 but returned to its pre-crisis levels by 2010. The bounce-back was fuelled by a stimulative fiscal and monetary response similar to what we’ve seen this year. We expect the art market to take a similar path forward.”

Interestingly, the report also found that the pandemic had actually increased 66% HNW individuals’ desire to collect fine art, with 33% reporting a significant increase. Banks and other big corporate collectors did reduce their expenditure, but still 78% of the International Association of Corporate Collections of Contemporary Art (IACCCA)’s 56 members have continued to acquire art during the pandemic.

Strong Historic Track Record

Over the past couple of decades auction turnover for the contemporary art sector has risen dramatically from just $92 million in 2000 to $1,993 million in 2019. That’s equivalent to a 2,100% increase. According to the Citi Global Art Market chart, the sector has also performed well against the stock market over this period, delivering an annualised return of 14% over the last 25 years as of December 2020 against 9.5% for the S&P 500. Citi’s 2020 Global Art Market Report notes that even during the first seven months of 2020 Contemporary Art averaged a 6.7% return, beating all other asset classes.

Investment Windows

As with most other collectibles, contemporary art is not a get-rich-quick scheme. It’s best suited to investors interested in longer investment windows, with most advisors recommending a 5-7 year hold. At Red Eight Gallery we regularly see investors achieve excellent returns over much shorter periods, but I would always advise discussing your goals with an art investment expert to get a realistic projection.

Typical Returns

Value drivers in the art sector include an artist’s reputation, their sales and exhibition history, and the general availability of their work on the primary and secondary markets. Emerging artists who are still building their presence in the market can generate higher returns in the long run, but more established or “blue chip” artists are the preferred option for risk-averse investors since they hold their value better during downturns.

While it’s hard to generalise on what returns to expect with contemporary art, at Red Eight Gallery we typically realise annual returns of 10-15% or better for our retail investors. Last year we achieved 23% growth in portfolio value for our investor client. To cite specific examples, works by street artist Panik see continued demand with his work achieving a 20% increase in price from 2020.

Liquidity

Liquidity is a major concern for both investors and FAs when it comes to any collectible asset. A key way to increase liquidity is to opt for blue chip artists like Banksy who already have a very mature market. It’s far easier to resell a Banksy print or Damian Hirst original than it is to offload work by lesser-known artists.

Another appealing option to increase the liquidity of your art collection is to use art leveraging. One leading art lender, Bank of America, saw its art loan business grow by 30% in 2020 as wealthy investors sought to free up capital during the COVID-19 pandemic. Collectors can take advantage of current low interest rates to realize attractive loans against blue chip artworks by the likes of Banksy, Picasso or Basquiat. Terms for art-backed loans tend to be a year, with art owners able to borrow up to 50% of the appraised value of their artwork.

Transparency & Trust

Another common concern for investors, and for FAs, is the apparent lack of transparency in the art world which is still largely unregulated. While there is some truth in this, there are easy ways to minimise your risk. Always purchase work from trusted galleries or brokers, and wherever possible stick to authenticated works which come with a signed certificate or statement of authenticity. Banksy makes this especially straightforward thanks to “Pest Control” which is the only organisation permitted to authenticate his work.

A Passion For Art

While investors should always make financial decisions with their head and not with their heart, one added benefit of art investment is that it also looks very good on your wall. For those who have a real passion for art, this can be a powerful additional reason to acquire a few investment-grade pieces for your home or office space. A well-chosen piece of art can completely transform the look and feel of a room - now that’s something you can’t say for share certificates!

Request your free “Art Market Report Q2 2021” for in-depth analysis on the contemporary art market.

Important Information:

This communication represents the views of Red Eight Gallery at the time of preparation. Views may be subject to change and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Whilst Red Eight Gallery has used all reasonable efforts to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this communication, we cannot guarantee the reliability, completeness or accuracy of the content. This document is provided for the purpose of information only.

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